Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000194 0.000216 0.000241 0.000269 0.000300 0.000334 0.000373
2025-02-16 0.000159 0.000190 0.000225 0.000267 0.000318 0.000376 0.000449
2025-02-23 0.000134 0.000169 0.000210 0.000264 0.000332 0.000414 0.000522
2025-03-02 0.000114 0.000150 0.000196 0.000258 0.000340 0.000445 0.000590
2025-03-09 0.000099 0.000137 0.000186 0.000256 0.000353 0.000481 0.000666
2025-03-16 0.000088 0.000126 0.000179 0.000256 0.000366 0.000519 0.000748
2025-03-23 0.000079 0.000118 0.000173 0.000257 0.000381 0.000559 0.000836
2025-03-30 0.000071 0.000110 0.000166 0.000255 0.000391 0.000593 0.000917
2025-04-06 0.000066 0.000104 0.000162 0.000256 0.000406 0.000635 0.001014
2025-04-13 0.000060 0.000099 0.000158 0.000257 0.000419 0.000674 0.001109
2025-04-20 0.000055 0.000092 0.000152 0.000254 0.000425 0.000703 0.001189
2025-04-27 0.000053 0.000090 0.000153 0.000262 0.000451 0.000765 0.001331
2025-05-04 0.000049 0.000087 0.000150 0.000265 0.000469 0.000818 0.001463
2025-05-11 0.000046 0.000083 0.000148 0.000268 0.000486 0.000870 0.001601
2025-05-18 0.000042 0.000079 0.000143 0.000267 0.000497 0.000913 0.001725
2025-05-25 0.000038 0.000074 0.000137 0.000262 0.000501 0.000943 0.001828
2025-06-01 0.000036 0.000070 0.000133 0.000261 0.000510 0.000984 0.001956
2025-06-08 0.000033 0.000067 0.000130 0.000261 0.000523 0.001031 0.002101
2025-06-15 0.000031 0.000064 0.000128 0.000262 0.000537 0.001083 0.002259
2025-06-22 0.000029 0.000061 0.000124 0.000260 0.000545 0.001124 0.002398
2025-06-29 0.000027 0.000059 0.000123 0.000262 0.000561 0.001181 0.002577
2025-07-06 0.000026 0.000057 0.000120 0.000262 0.000574 0.001234 0.002751
2025-07-13 0.000024 0.000054 0.000116 0.000259 0.000578 0.001267 0.002887